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Welcome back to another edition of the world-famous Steam Report...
Today, we'll look at:
- 💰The Money Keeps Rolling in for Franco
- 🛠️ What We're Working On
- 👨💻 How ‘Weekend Bettors’ Are Beating Slow Sportsbooks
This, and more, in just 5 minutes to read.
-Dylan
The Money Keeps Rolling in for Franco 💰
When we last checked in with Franco in October, he had turned his initial $10k bankroll into $43k using the dropping odds strategy. Three months later, his systematic approach continues to yield impressive results, with profits now reaching $76.7k.
Between December 2023 and January 2025, Franco has:
- Generated $76,698 in pure profit
- Placed 15,530 bets across major US sportsbooks
- Achieved a 6.16% yield on $1.24M turnover
- Grown his initial $10k bankroll by 767%
Analyzing the sportsbook results, FanDuel stands out as the most lucrative platform, generating more than $61,000 from almost 6,000 bets with average odds of +127 (2.27). DraftKings follows in second place, yielding a profit of $11,500 from 7,663 bets at average odds of +144 (2.44).
What's particularly noteworthy is Franco's ability to maintain profitability even as he's significantly increased his volume since our last report. In the past three months alone, he's added nearly $34k in profit while keeping his yield above 6%. This consistency at higher volumes speaks to the robustness of his systematic approach to value betting.
Franco has recently launched a free Discord community called BetSharp where he's sharing his complete playbook, including his exact process for finding value bets, detailed bankroll management strategy, and analysis of which US sportsbooks to target (and which to avoid). Members also get access to real-time alerts when Franco places value bets, plus his specific tactics for reducing variance and optimizing turnover in the US market.
What We're Working On - Internationalisation 🇧🇷 🇨🇳 🇪🇸
We are translating Pinnacle Odds Dropper into three new languages - Portuguese, Chinese and Spanish.
+ We're planning to add Chinese Yuan currency support taking the number of supported currencies up to nine.
🗞️ In The News
👨💻How ‘Weekend Bettors’ Are Beating Slow Sportsbooks
In the bustling world of sports betting, a quiet revolution is taking place. Not in the brightly lit casinos of Las Vegas, nor in the trading floors of professional gambling syndicates, but in the home offices of part-time bettors who have discovered a peculiar market inefficiency. Their edge comes not from intricate mathematical models or deep sports knowledge, but from a simple proposition: some sportsbooks are slower than others to adjust their odds.
At the heart of this strategy lies Pinnacle Sportsbook, a Curaçao-based sportsbook that has achieved an almost mythical status among professional and semi-professional gamblers. Unlike its competitors, who typically ban winning players and operate with fat margins, Pinnacle welcomes sharp action and maintains razor-thin margins. This unusual business model has made it the de facto price-setter for global sports betting markets.
The opportunity arises from a peculiar feature of modern sports betting: when Pinnacle's odds move, other sportsbooks called softs usually follow—but not always quickly enough. This delay, often just seconds long, creates a short window of opportunity to bet at the soft sportsbook while they are still offering the previous, more generous odds.
The rise of odds-monitoring technology has democratized this approach. Services that track these movements have proliferated, particularly since America began legalizing sports betting state by state in 2018. What once required teams of analysts can now be accomplished with a mobile phone and the right alerts.
Counterintuitively, the richest opportunities lie not in high-profile contests but in obscure markets. A lower-division Bulgarian soccer match might offer better value than an NFL game, precisely because most sportsbooks pay less attention to such events and there are far more of them.
Yet the strategy faces headwinds. Sportsbooks, aware of these tactics, increasingly restrict winning players' accounts. The hunt for fresh accounts has become as crucial as the hunt for value itself. Moreover, as more bettors adopt this approach, the windows of opportunity might narrow.
The economics remain compelling nonetheless. A bettor with $5,000 in starting capital, focusing primarily on weekends when market activity peaks, can reasonably target $1,000-$2,000 in monthly profit. The mathematics of a 5% yield on $30,000 monthly turnover appears straightforward, though achieving it requires discipline and efficient execution.
Time will tell whether this edge persists. As markets mature and technology improves, the delays that make this strategy profitable may shrink further. For now, though, a growing cohort of weekend warriors is demonstrating that in sports betting, as in financial markets, structural inefficiencies can reward those patient enough to exploit them.
See you next time!
That's it for today on The Steam Report ♨️!
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Author: dylan@pinnacleoddsdropper.com
P.S. We've just launched an advantage betting 'sister' blog to The Steam Report called The Advantage. The content in today's newsletter was inspired by some of its first posts. Check it out if you want to consume even more advantage betting content!