$100k Chinese Success Story & Tennis Expert's AO Preview

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Welcome to the second Steam Report of January! This edition is packed with insights from across the global advantage betting landscape thanks to two remarkable market specialists so stay tuned...

Today, we'll look at:

🇨🇳 A Value Bettor's $100k (CNY654k) Dropping Odds Success in China

📈 Pinnacle Odds Dropper's Bet Tracker users hit 100k bets since November Launch

🇦🇺 Tennis Market Expert and Sharp Nishi Kori Previews the 2025 Australian Open

This, and more, in just 5 minutes to read.

- Dylan

From Math Student to Market Master: A Value Bettor's $100k (CNY726k) Dropping Odds Success in China 🇨🇳

In China's restricted betting landscape, one bettor has found remarkable success utilizing the dropping odds strategy while simultaneously helping major syndicates access Asian markets. Known as @winwinCN88 on Telegram, his story demonstrates how sophisticated bettors can thrive even in extremely challenging environments like mainland China.

Since November 1, 2024, @winwinCN88's results using the dropping odds strategy have been remarkable across Asian books such as 188bet, Singbet,AG series and YABO:

⤴️

$98,962 (CNY725,571) profit

$1.6 million (CNY11.6 million) in turnover

2,792 bets placed

6.25% Yield

When asked about these results, he confirms: "it's all dropping odds strategy." His recent 30-day performance shows impressive consistency:

⤴️

$45,100 (CNY327,786) profit

$751k (CNY 5.5 million)) turnover

1,349 bets placed

6.00% yield

Bridging Markets: Servicing Syndicates

Beyond his personal dropping odds betting operation, @winwinCN88 serves as a crucial bridge between Western syndicates and Asian markets. "My primary focus now is finding large betting opportunities in the Asian market for syndicates (like Star Lizard)," he explains. "They aim to place substantial bets without impacting market odds, and I help them place bets in markets they can't access, creating a win-win situation."

This role leverages the unique advantages of Asian markets: "generally higher limits compared to European bookmakers and lower vigorish," making them attractive to large-scale operators who might otherwise move markets with their volume.

Technical Edge: Fine-Tuned Alert Configurations

His dropping odds success stems from carefully calibrated alert configurations across multiple sports:

Soccer:

Basketball:

The Journey

@winwinCN88's path to success spans more than a decade. "Back in high school, I was the top math student in my entire school," he recalls. "Leveraging my mathematical skills, I started analyzing the problem from a mathematical perspective. I learned how to calculate the vigorish, expected value, and some basic statistical models."

Operating at Scale

Despite regulatory challenges, @winwinCN88 maintains impressive volume through systematic operations. "I've hired someone to place bets for me full-time, so I only need to focus on managing the deposits and withdrawals," he explains.

His success relies heavily on sophisticated account management. "I am very familiar with the risk control strategies of Asian bookmakers and know how to disguise myself as an amateur recreational player to avoid detection," he shares. His advice is specific:

"Imagine yourself as a regular player. Your goal is to disguise yourself as an ordinary high-stakes recreational bettor. For example:

Avoid placing bets on games several days in advance

Increase the proportion of bets on major leagues

Occasionally play some casino games

Add more live betting slips”

The Chinese Market Advantage

Despite the challenges of operating in an unregulated environment, @winwinCN88 sees unique opportunities: "China is a huge market with a population of 1.4 billion and a massive demand for gambling; there is never a lack of opportunities here."

The cryptocurrency adoption by Asian bookmakers creates additional advantages: "The anonymity of cryptocurrencies makes it possible to open a large number of accounts," he explains. This allows for better distribution of betting volume and risk management.

Looking Forward

While @winwinCN88 doesn't see sports betting being legalized in China "within 30 years," he continues to find edges through both his dropping odds operation and syndicate services. His parting advice to other Chinese advantage bettors is straightforward: "Learning how to disguise your betting patterns is important; it will take your gambling skills to the next level."

What's particularly striking about his success is the humility with which he approaches his craft. When offered the chance to earn commissions for recommending the tools he uses, he simply replied: "thank you, I will recommend it to those who need it. it's a great product, I don't need the fee to recommend it."

Note: All performance figures represent dropping odds strategy bets logged through POD since November 1, 2024.

POP QUIZ

Q: Which betting exchange first introduced the concept of lay betting?

Pinnacle Odds Dropper's Bet Tracker Hits 100k Bets Since Launch! 📈

Users of Pinnacle Odds Dropper’s new bet tracker hit 100,000 total logged bets on Wednesday. They must be one of the busiest communities in the advantage betting space!

Tennis Expert Nishi Kori Previews the Australian Open: Why Djokovic has won 10 AO and 'only’ 4 US Opens 🇦🇺

The Australian Open and US Open, both hard-court tournaments, differ significantly in conditions, influencing player performance. Melbourne’s courts are medium-paced with a low bounce, ideal for Novak Djokovic’s game, which has led to his 10 titles there. In contrast, the US Open courts are medium-slow with a higher bounce, favoring spin-heavy players like Rafael Nadal. Djokovic, despite being one of the best hard-court players, has only four US Open titles and has lost six finals, a stark difference from his dominance in Melbourne.

The disparity stems from the materials and construction of the courts. The Australian Open transitioned from Plexicushion to Greenset Worldwide in 2020, creating a low-bounce surface classified as medium-fast by the ITF. On the other hand, the US Open switched from Decoturf to Laykold in 2020, applied directly to asphalt. Laykold courts result in a higher bounce and medium-slow speed. Although Laykold increased the US Open's speed by 20-30%, it remains less favorable for Djokovic compared to Melbourne’s smoother, faster surface.

The type of balls used further accentuates these differences. Melbourne’s Dunlop balls are harder to generate spin with, suiting Djokovic’s flatter shots. Conversely, New York uses Wilson balls, which bounce higher, posing additional challenges for Djokovic. Players like Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka have noted these differences, with complaints about ball performance, such as pressure loss and reduced “pop” after a few games. These changes favor players with a spin-heavy style in New York, while Melbourne’s conditions are better suited to flat hitters.

Timing also plays a crucial role. The Australian Open in January sees players fresh and rested, while the US Open in September often finds them physically drained from the season. Djokovic typically arrives in Melbourne better prepared, giving him a competitive edge.

Despite similar speed statistics over the last three years, subtle differences in court surfaces, ball behavior, and bounce create distinct playing conditions at the two tournaments. These factors can have a profound impact on a player’s comfort and success. For betting, understanding these nuances is essential. Conditions in Melbourne favor players with flatter shots like Djokovic, while New York’s higher bounce benefits those who rely on spin. Recognizing these differences can provide valuable insights into player performance and betting strategies.

Nishi publishes a daily newsletter on tennis betting, featuring tournament previews, insights into tennis betting education, occasional free picks, and other betting-related topics as they come up. You can sign-up for free at tennisedge.io

TRIVIA ANSWER

Betfair, in June 2000

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dylan@Pinnacleoddsdropper.com

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Author: dylan@pinnacleoddsdropper.com

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A Chinese Value Bettor's $100k (CNY726k) Success Story + Nishi’s Australian Open Preview 🇦🇺